That the party of Roberto Vannacci is soaring in the polls is quite evident. The latest Youtrend Supermedia for Agi gives Futuro Nazionale 6.8%. At the beginning of March Fn was just at 3.2%. The picture is clear: in almost five months the percentage of voters intending to vote for the general’s party has more than doubled. This is a growth that no other political formation has been able to even remotely compare to. However, there are those, like Fatto Quotidiano, who want to curb the enthusiasm.
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“In all this jumble of numbers, it might be good to set some caveats and resort to memory, an increasingly scarce resource in the world of communication,” reads the newspaper. Then comes the usual invitation to “handle with care” the polls that have repeatedly made glaring errors. To support this thesis, Travaglio’s newspaper brings an example dating back to 2008, when the Rainbow Left was assigned 7 or 8% of the votes by the surveys – numbers well above the 4% threshold -, and then on election day Bertinotti’s list took just over 3% and stayed out of Parliament.
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Pagnoncelli Poll, number short-circuit: fewer votes and you govern
The party ratings in Italians’ orientations do not change much if a vote were held now, but one can grasp …
Errors in the 2013 polls related to the Democratic Party (given above 33%, it took 25.4) and the Five Star Movement are also cited; as well as those of 2018, again related to the grillini, who were given at 27.5% and took 32.5%. In short, Fatto wants to tell us that polls do not reveal the absolute truth. What a discovery. Did we really need an “analysis” (as they call it) to remind us? Honestly no. And it is precisely for this reason that one wonders: isn’t it that someone is getting cold feet here?
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Roberto Vannacci, the poll: “61% say yes”, reversed picture
There are polls, which more than photographs of reality are sometimes self-fulfilling projections, since…
